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2025-26 Season Live

Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Nov 09, 2025)

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Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 09, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 41.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 62
Biggest swing 69.9 pp
Home time led 33.1%
Away time led 66.9%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
533119:01goal3-230.3%
440115:31goal2-237.8%
421114:31goal1-230.5%
233108:34goal1-157.1%
175105:00goal1-066.0%
54100:00period-start0-055.2%
774216:51goal4-341.2%
695211:03goal4-219.8%
495320:00game-end4-57.3%
549200:00period-start3-270.7%
1012312:13goal4-59.2%
258303:20goal4-447.3%
812300:00period-start4-368.4%