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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 12, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 12, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 44.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 18.0 pp
Home time led 0.0%
Away time led 100.0%
The Flood (3-straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
105100:00period-start0-044.2%
301101:09goal0-132.5%
302103:31goal0-222.8%
288106:04goal1-232.9%
358107:08goal1-318.9%
453113:59goal2-332.8%
485116:20goal2-417.6%
498117:32goal3-433.8%
593200:00period-start3-433.8%
915218:19goal3-59.9%
945300:00period-start3-59.0%
1008305:03goal3-61.4%
1176317:49goal3-70.1%
524320:00game-end3-70.0%