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2025-26 Season Live

Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 16, 2025)

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Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 16, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 59.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 38
Biggest swing 70.4 pp
Home time led 55.6%
Away time led 44.4%
The Flood (6+ straight)VAN
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
403119:25goal1-049.0%
52100:00period-start0-055.2%
586209:26goal2-178.0%
522204:35goal2-066.4%
424200:00period-start1-070.7%
471320:00game-end2-60.3%
1002316:57goal2-60.8%
1001313:52goal2-50.8%
781305:51goal2-45.4%
773304:54goal2-321.5%
765304:11goal2-248.5%
717300:00period-start2-183.1%