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Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 16, 2025)

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Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 16, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 45.0%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 34.4 pp
Home time led 41.3%
Away time led 58.7%
The Flood (6+ straight)VAN
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-045.0%
403119:25goal1-071.3%
424200:00period-start1-071.3%
522204:35goal2-084.7%
586209:26goal2-172.4%
717300:00period-start2-178.2%
765304:11goal2-248.8%
773304:54goal2-325.9%
781305:51goal2-47.5%
1001313:52goal2-50.8%
1002316:57goal2-60.1%
471320:00game-end2-60.0%