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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Nov 22, 2025)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens

Nov 22, 2025
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 57.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 42.6 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
363113:33goal2-086.6%
289112:11goal1-067.9%
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
711217:19goal4-198.0%
651213:11goal4-099.0%
505204:09goal3-093.8%
453200:00period-start2-086.2%
903320:00game-end5-299.2%
1046317:50goal5-299.2%
1010314:55goal4-298.5%
748300:00period-start4-198.1%