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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Nov 28, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

Nov 28, 2025
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 44.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 11
Biggest swing 58.3 pp
Home time led 34.7%
Away time led 65.3%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
384117:07goal1-161.7%
305111:29goal1-066.6%
54100:00period-start0-055.2%
769218:26goal3-421.1%
743216:09goal2-410.6%
207203:13goal2-335.9%
153203:01goal1-329.7%
483200:34goal1-249.8%
482200:00period-start1-159.0%
519320:00game-end3-60.8%
1014317:13goal3-61.5%
958312:37goal3-54.3%
795300:00period-start3-429.9%