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2026-27 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Nov 28, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

Nov 28, 2025
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 41.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 19.8 pp
Home time led 9.4%
Away time led 90.6%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-041.4%
305111:29goal1-066.8%
384117:07goal1-149.2%
482200:00period-start1-149.0%
483200:34goal1-233.0%
153203:01goal1-313.6%
207203:13goal2-332.0%
743216:09goal2-47.0%
769218:26goal3-418.9%
795300:00period-start3-418.3%
958312:37goal3-52.1%
1014317:13goal3-60.4%
519320:00game-end3-60.0%