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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Nov 28, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

Nov 28, 2025
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 52.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 11
Biggest swing 61.3 pp
Home time led 33.8%
Away time led 66.2%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
384117:07goal1-162.5%
305111:29goal1-068.9%
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
769218:26goal3-423.0%
743216:09goal2-49.2%
207203:13goal2-334.0%
153203:01goal1-334.7%
483200:34goal1-247.4%
482200:00period-start1-161.9%
519320:00game-end3-60.6%
1014317:13goal3-60.7%
958312:37goal3-54.6%
795300:00period-start3-429.9%