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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Nov 29, 2025)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 29, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 58.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 22.7 pp
Home time led 16.1%
Away time led 83.9%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
104100:00period-start0-056.7%
204106:46goal0-144.6%
352108:14goal1-158.0%
401111:06goal1-240.5%
259200:00period-start1-239.4%
402202:24goal1-321.2%
601204:53goal1-42.8%
764213:58goal1-52.0%
83300:00period-start1-51.8%
956304:37goal2-51.1%
993307:14goal2-61.1%
1093313:16goal2-70.7%
96320:00game-end2-70.8%