🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2026-27 Season Live

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Dec 04, 2025)

In-Game Dashboard

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 04, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 49.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 39.0 pp
Home time led 0.0%
Away time led 100.0%
The Flood (3-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-049.2%
141106:12goal0-135.1%
485200:00period-start0-133.8%
622207:53goal0-214.1%
701209:49goal0-33.9%
823218:46goal1-39.7%
847300:00period-start1-38.8%
969301:17goal2-325.3%
1115311:44goal3-346.7%
1196317:17goal3-48.9%
521320:00game-end3-40.0%