Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Dec 04, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
56.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
14
Biggest swing
44.8 pp
Home time led
31.9%
Away time led
68.1%
The Flood (3-straight)PIT
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 1 | 06:12 | goal | 0-1 | 51.9% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.2% |
| 823 | 2 | 18:46 | goal | 1-3 | 9.5% |
| 701 | 2 | 09:49 | goal | 0-3 | 3.5% |
| 622 | 2 | 07:53 | goal | 0-2 | 17.0% |
| 485 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 45.7% |
| 521 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-4 | 11.4% |
| 1196 | 3 | 17:17 | goal | 3-4 | 17.4% |
| 1115 | 3 | 11:44 | goal | 3-3 | 55.5% |
| 969 | 3 | 01:17 | goal | 2-3 | 30.9% |
| 847 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-3 | 10.4% |