Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Dec 09, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob
57.9%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
55.6 pp
Home time led
3.7%
Away time led
96.3%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 | 1 | 17:12 | goal | 0-3 | 8.7% |
| 138 | 1 | 06:03 | goal | 0-2 | 20.9% |
| 82 | 1 | 02:27 | goal | 0-1 | 45.0% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 57.2% |
| 762 | 2 | 19:06 | goal | 1-4 | 1.6% |
| 459 | 2 | 02:43 | goal | 0-4 | 3.3% |
| 436 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-3 | 7.3% |
| 522 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 1-6 | 0.6% |
| 899 | 3 | 08:41 | goal | 1-6 | 1.2% |
| 791 | 3 | 01:22 | goal | 1-5 | 1.0% |
| 778 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-4 | 1.7% |