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2025-26 Season Live

Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Dec 11, 2025)

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Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 11, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 59.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 22.6 pp
Home time led 4.9%
Away time led 95.1%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.2%
87102:54goal0-139.2%
423200:00period-start0-138.7%
522204:37goal0-219.8%
305210:18goal0-34.6%
844300:00period-start0-31.8%
845300:44goal1-37.5%
901300:59goal1-41.4%
1081315:07goal2-44.3%
40320:00game-end2-43.7%