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Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Dec 11, 2025)

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Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 11, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 50.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 18.4 pp
Home time led 4.8%
Away time led 95.2%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-050.6%
87102:54goal0-134.2%
423200:00period-start0-132.4%
522204:37goal0-216.6%
305210:18goal0-34.0%
844300:00period-start0-33.4%
845300:44goal1-37.5%
901300:59goal1-42.5%
1081315:07goal2-42.8%
40320:00game-end2-40.0%