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Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Dec 11, 2025)

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Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

Dec 11, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 38.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 47.4 pp
Home time led 18.7%
Away time led 81.3%
The Grip (entering P3)CAR — xG +1.5

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-038.9%
427200:00period-start0-045.8%
543205:00goal1-067.0%
717213:43goal1-142.3%
810300:00period-start1-137.1%
979311:32goal2-179.7%
1060317:45goal2-238.0%
1106400:00period-start2-237.9%
467500:00period-start2-239.5%
355500:00goal2-240.5%
475500:00game-end2-240.5%