Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders Win Probability Chart (Dec 13, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders
New York Islanders pregame win prob
54.2%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
29.1 pp
Home time led
54.2%
Away time led
45.8%
The Flood (2-straight)NYI
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +2.8
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 54.2% |
| 95 | 1 | 03:05 | goal | 1-0 | 67.7% |
| 203 | 1 | 10:16 | goal | 2-0 | 82.7% |
| 495 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 80.7% |
| 751 | 2 | 10:13 | goal | 2-1 | 68.4% |
| 846 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 73.6% |
| 893 | 3 | 03:20 | goal | 2-2 | 47.7% |
| 1182 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 48.6% |
| 951 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 48.5% |
| 753 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 2-2 | 48.5% |
| 754 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 2-2 | 48.5% |
| 757 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 2-2 | 48.5% |
| 956 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 2-2 | 48.5% |