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2026-27 Season Live

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Dec 15, 2025)

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 52.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 19.3 pp
Home time led 3.8%
Away time led 96.2%
The Flood (4+ straight)FLA

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-052.5%
88102:16goal0-133.6%
109103:48goal0-224.3%
487200:00period-start0-217.7%
643211:48goal0-34.0%
734218:08goal0-40.6%
755219:27goal1-43.6%
768300:00period-start1-43.4%
796302:11goal2-47.5%
855306:37goal2-51.9%
377320:00game-end2-50.0%