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2025-26 Season Live

Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Dec 15, 2025)

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 54.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 53.6 pp
Home time led 2.8%
Away time led 97.2%
The Flood (4+ straight)FLA

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
109103:48goal0-219.0%
88102:16goal0-137.7%
52100:00period-start0-055.2%
755219:27goal1-41.8%
734218:08goal0-41.3%
643211:48goal0-33.9%
377320:00game-end2-50.8%
487200:00period-start0-222.3%
855306:37goal2-51.5%
796302:11goal2-49.4%
768300:00period-start1-41.8%