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Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Dec 21, 2025)

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Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 21, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 66.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 22.5 pp
Home time led 99.4%
Away time led 0.6%
The Flood (2-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-066.7%
150107:31goal0-147.3%
258107:58goal1-161.5%
313112:40goal2-181.3%
470200:00period-start2-181.1%
516203:54goal2-262.4%
673211:51goal3-281.2%
848300:00period-start3-285.0%
900304:04goal3-361.8%
1220400:00period-start3-363.1%
38500:00period-start3-361.4%
39500:00goal3-361.4%
42500:00goal3-361.4%
43500:00goal3-361.4%
50500:00game-end3-361.4%