Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Dec 23, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
50.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
33.1 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 50.4% |
| 222 | 1 | 09:07 | goal | 1-0 | 67.8% |
| 233 | 1 | 09:51 | goal | 1-1 | 52.9% |
| 443 | 1 | 13:34 | goal | 2-1 | 67.6% |
| 576 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 68.8% |
| 667 | 2 | 07:38 | goal | 3-1 | 85.1% |
| 717 | 2 | 11:43 | goal | 3-2 | 72.4% |
| 826 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-2 | 78.2% |
| 835 | 3 | 01:00 | goal | 3-3 | 53.5% |
| 985 | 3 | 11:35 | goal | 4-3 | 86.4% |
| 1082 | 3 | 17:57 | goal | 5-3 | 98.1% |
| 1090 | 3 | 18:36 | goal | 6-3 | 99.3% |
| 527 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 6-3 | 100.0% |