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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Dec 23, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

Dec 23, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 52.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 32.1 pp
Home time led 73.1%
Away time led 26.9%
The Flood (5+ straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-052.8%
299114:57goal0-132.6%
439200:00period-start0-132.1%
440200:23goal1-150.8%
543208:40goal2-173.0%
681211:14goal2-253.9%
692212:11goal3-273.0%
793300:00period-start3-278.7%
891308:10goal3-353.2%
905309:18goal3-421.1%
969313:43goal3-53.0%
1011317:44goal3-60.4%
1018318:09goal3-70.1%
605320:00game-end3-70.0%