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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Dec 23, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

Dec 23, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 61.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 11
Biggest swing 29.8 pp
Home time led 69.6%
Away time led 30.4%
The Flood (5+ straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.2%
299114:57goal0-142.1%
439200:00period-start0-138.7%
440200:23goal1-151.9%
543208:40goal2-172.5%
681211:14goal2-262.5%
692212:11goal3-274.2%
793300:00period-start3-283.8%
891308:10goal3-359.6%
905309:18goal3-429.8%
969313:43goal3-54.0%
1011317:44goal3-60.9%
1018318:09goal3-70.7%
605320:00game-end3-70.8%