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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Dec 23, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

Dec 23, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 55.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 7
Biggest swing 31.6 pp
Home time led 72.6%
Away time led 27.4%
The Flood (5+ straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
299114:57goal0-141.5%
439200:00period-start0-137.9%
440200:23goal1-150.4%
543208:40goal2-174.5%
681211:14goal2-262.9%
692212:11goal3-275.4%
793300:00period-start3-284.2%
891308:10goal3-361.5%
905309:18goal3-430.0%
969313:43goal3-54.0%
1011317:44goal3-60.8%
1018318:09goal3-70.6%
605320:00game-end3-70.9%