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San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Dec 23, 2025)

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San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights

Dec 23, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 66.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 18.0 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%
The Flood (3-straight)VGK

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-066.7%
74101:46goal1-079.7%
280109:07goal2-090.8%
318111:37goal3-095.5%
377114:57goal4-098.4%
472118:34goal5-099.5%
503200:00period-start5-099.5%
584206:49goal5-199.5%
788218:50goal6-199.9%
808300:00period-start6-199.9%
878305:22goal7-199.9%
158308:04goal7-299.9%
416320:00game-end7-2100.0%