Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Dec 27, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
45.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
3
Biggest swing
27.3 pp
Home time led
93.6%
Away time led
6.4%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 45.8% |
| 63 | 1 | 00:40 | goal | 1-0 | 65.5% |
| 373 | 1 | 14:42 | goal | 2-0 | 81.3% |
| 425 | 1 | 17:50 | goal | 2-1 | 69.9% |
| 522 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 69.1% |
| 103 | 2 | 00:18 | goal | 2-2 | 41.8% |
| 624 | 2 | 03:28 | goal | 3-2 | 70.1% |
| 206 | 2 | 07:28 | goal | 4-2 | 82.8% |
| 694 | 2 | 08:32 | goal | 5-2 | 92.1% |
| 865 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 5-2 | 96.5% |
| 866 | 3 | 00:14 | goal | 5-3 | 91.0% |
| 940 | 3 | 05:07 | goal | 5-4 | 80.8% |
| 955 | 3 | 05:53 | goal | 6-4 | 94.0% |
| 1007 | 3 | 09:18 | goal | 6-5 | 82.9% |
| 1174 | 3 | 18:44 | goal | 7-5 | 97.6% |
| 562 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 7-5 | 100.0% |