Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Dec 28, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob
61.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
32.8 pp
Home time led
76.9%
Away time led
23.1%
The Flood (2-straight)DET
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 61.5% |
| 495 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 60.3% |
| 656 | 2 | 04:25 | goal | 0-1 | 41.3% |
| 838 | 2 | 19:01 | goal | 1-1 | 60.7% |
| 856 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 60.7% |
| 928 | 3 | 04:53 | goal | 1-2 | 30.9% |
| 936 | 3 | 05:16 | goal | 2-2 | 59.0% |
| 1203 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 1220 | 4 | 01:46 | goal | 3-2 | 92.2% |
| 588 | 4 | 01:46 | game-end | 3-2 | 100.0% |