Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Dec 28, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob
53.7%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
33
Biggest swing
46.8 pp
Home time led
48.4%
Away time led
51.6%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 838 | 2 | 19:01 | goal | 1-1 | 44.6% |
| 656 | 2 | 04:25 | goal | 0-1 | 28.5% |
| 495 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.6% |
| 936 | 3 | 05:16 | goal | 2-2 | 41.7% |
| 928 | 3 | 04:53 | goal | 1-2 | 19.8% |
| 856 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 54.8% |
| 588 | 4 | 01:46 | game-end | 3-2 | 91.6% |
| 1220 | 4 | 01:46 | goal | 3-2 | 91.6% |
| 1203 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 46.1% |