Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Jan 01, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob
70.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
29.7 pp
Home time led
52.8%
Away time led
47.2%
The Flood (3-straight)OTT
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 70.8% |
| 320 | 1 | 08:13 | goal | 0-1 | 51.6% |
| 523 | 1 | 18:59 | goal | 0-2 | 20.5% |
| 546 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 20.1% |
| 637 | 2 | 07:42 | goal | 1-2 | 41.6% |
| 801 | 2 | 19:31 | goal | 2-2 | 70.5% |
| 813 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 70.5% |
| 849 | 3 | 02:47 | goal | 3-2 | 87.1% |
| 1034 | 3 | 15:53 | goal | 3-3 | 69.9% |
| 1055 | 3 | 17:38 | goal | 4-3 | 93.0% |
| 425 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-3 | 100.0% |