Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Jan 01, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob
62.2%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
8
Biggest swing
39.0 pp
Home time led
48.9%
Away time led
51.1%
The Flood (3-straight)OTT
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 320 | 1 | 08:13 | goal | 0-1 | 47.3% |
| 523 | 1 | 18:59 | goal | 0-2 | 23.1% |
| 546 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 22.5% |
| 637 | 2 | 07:42 | goal | 1-2 | 35.2% |
| 801 | 2 | 19:31 | goal | 2-2 | 68.7% |
| 813 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 68.7% |
| 849 | 3 | 02:47 | goal | 3-2 | 83.8% |
| 1034 | 3 | 15:53 | goal | 3-3 | 71.8% |
| 1055 | 3 | 17:38 | goal | 4-3 | 93.5% |
| 425 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-3 | 92.8% |