Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders Win Probability Chart (Jan 03, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders
New York Islanders pregame win prob
53.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
40.3 pp
Home time led
70.9%
Away time led
29.1%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 53.8% |
| 438 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 53.7% |
| 455 | 2 | 01:10 | goal | 1-0 | 70.0% |
| 616 | 2 | 09:30 | goal | 1-1 | 55.7% |
| 751 | 2 | 17:19 | goal | 1-2 | 25.5% |
| 810 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-2 | 25.5% |
| 983 | 3 | 11:10 | goal | 2-2 | 55.1% |
| 996 | 3 | 12:12 | goal | 2-3 | 18.1% |
| 1060 | 3 | 17:15 | goal | 3-3 | 52.9% |
| 1108 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 53.3% |
| 1136 | 4 | 04:11 | goal | 4-3 | 91.1% |
| 524 | 4 | 04:11 | game-end | 4-3 | 100.0% |