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2025-26 Season Live

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Jan 05, 2026)

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Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

Jan 05, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 64.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 22
Biggest swing 46.4 pp
Home time led 19.7%
Away time led 80.3%
The Flood (3-straight)DET

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
536119:43goal0-38.4%
451113:51goal0-221.0%
207107:06goal0-149.0%
54100:00period-start0-055.2%
780215:42goal2-411.7%
763214:10goal2-334.4%
660207:33goal1-318.0%
387320:00game-end3-53.3%
549200:00period-start0-37.3%
1059312:53goal3-54.7%
936306:55goal3-426.3%
841300:00period-start2-49.5%