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2026-27 Season Live

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Jan 05, 2026)

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Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

Jan 05, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 64.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 27.5 pp
Home time led 11.8%
Away time led 88.2%
The Flood (3-straight)DET

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-064.5%
207107:06goal0-147.9%
451113:51goal0-223.6%
536119:43goal0-315.3%
549200:00period-start0-315.3%
660207:33goal1-319.9%
763214:10goal2-340.3%
780215:42goal2-412.9%
841300:00period-start2-410.3%
936306:55goal3-426.6%
1059312:53goal3-53.4%
387320:00game-end3-50.0%