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Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers Win Probability Chart (Jan 12, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 12, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers pregame win prob 45.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 18.4 pp
Home time led 1.8%
Away time led 98.2%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
101101:10goal0-140.6%
461200:00period-start0-137.9%
462200:33goal0-219.5%
515204:29goal0-34.5%
540205:40goal1-312.7%
764219:29goal1-41.8%
787300:00period-start1-41.7%
1013316:39goal1-50.9%
578320:00game-end1-50.7%