Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Jan 13, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob
52.9%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
20
Biggest swing
35.3 pp
Home time led
82.9%
Away time led
17.1%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 59.9% |
| 447 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 60.8% |
| 748 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 60.3% |
| 461 | 3 | 14:13 | goal | 0-1 | 17.6% |
| 1123 | 3 | 17:44 | goal | 1-1 | 48.9% |
| 1156 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 50.8% |
| 49 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 56.4% |
| 801 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 1-1 | 60.3% |
| 804 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 1-1 | 60.3% |
| 805 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 1-1 | 60.3% |
| 811 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 1-1 | 60.3% |