Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Jan 15, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob
48.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
46.1 pp
Home time led
11.1%
Away time led
88.9%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 81 | 1 | 02:05 | goal | 0-1 | 39.6% |
| 181 | 1 | 05:03 | goal | 0-2 | 27.3% |
| 228 | 1 | 08:12 | goal | 1-2 | 41.2% |
| 257 | 1 | 09:57 | goal | 1-3 | 22.3% |
| 524 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-3 | 23.0% |
| 595 | 2 | 05:51 | goal | 2-3 | 39.0% |
| 687 | 2 | 12:46 | goal | 2-4 | 14.8% |
| 773 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-4 | 13.1% |
| 808 | 3 | 02:10 | goal | 3-4 | 28.7% |
| 915 | 3 | 08:58 | goal | 3-5 | 7.8% |
| 934 | 3 | 10:14 | goal | 4-5 | 23.1% |
| 1126 | 3 | 19:53 | goal | 5-5 | 64.2% |
| 1136 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 5-5 | 64.5% |
| 340 | 4 | 02:44 | game-end | 6-5 | 94.2% |
| 1208 | 4 | 02:44 | goal | 6-5 | 100.0% |