Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Jan 17, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob
55.1%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
5
Biggest swing
44.0 pp
Home time led
45.3%
Away time led
54.7%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL
The Grip (entering P3)OTT — xG +1.9
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.1% |
| 87 | 1 | 03:06 | goal | 0-1 | 37.1% |
| 513 | 1 | 17:50 | goal | 0-2 | 22.8% |
| 548 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 22.1% |
| 553 | 2 | 00:42 | goal | 1-2 | 34.2% |
| 595 | 2 | 03:07 | goal | 2-2 | 55.9% |
| 609 | 2 | 04:26 | goal | 2-3 | 33.5% |
| 758 | 2 | 15:31 | goal | 3-3 | 55.6% |
| 306 | 2 | 18:24 | goal | 4-3 | 79.4% |
| 827 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-3 | 80.2% |
| 940 | 3 | 07:55 | goal | 5-3 | 95.7% |
| 1060 | 3 | 15:36 | goal | 5-4 | 89.1% |
| 1074 | 3 | 16:41 | goal | 5-5 | 54.9% |
| 1134 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 5-5 | 56.9% |
| 1138 | 4 | 00:33 | goal | 5-6 | 12.5% |
| 482 | 4 | 00:33 | game-end | 5-6 | 0.0% |