Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets Win Probability Chart (Jan 17, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets pregame win prob
50.6%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
42.3 pp
Home time led
97.1%
Away time led
2.9%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 505 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 63.7% |
| 528 | 2 | 02:23 | goal | 1-0 | 74.9% |
| 680 | 2 | 08:59 | goal | 2-0 | 87.9% |
| 687 | 2 | 09:22 | goal | 2-1 | 78.1% |
| 834 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 84.2% |
| 866 | 3 | 02:28 | goal | 3-1 | 93.1% |
| 911 | 3 | 05:58 | goal | 3-2 | 84.9% |
| 1045 | 3 | 15:33 | goal | 3-3 | 54.2% |
| 1124 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 56.6% |
| 566 | 4 | 03:08 | game-end | 3-4 | 13.4% |
| 1148 | 4 | 03:08 | goal | 3-4 | 0.0% |