San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Jan 20, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
70.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
15.6 pp
Home time led
99.1%
Away time led
0.9%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 70.4% |
| 401 | 1 | 14:37 | goal | 0-1 | 46.6% |
| 339 | 1 | 15:10 | goal | 1-1 | 62.2% |
| 395 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 62.2% |
| 521 | 2 | 01:49 | goal | 2-1 | 73.9% |
| 539 | 2 | 03:17 | goal | 3-1 | 87.9% |
| 852 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-1 | 92.0% |
| 1072 | 3 | 17:41 | goal | 4-1 | 99.0% |
| 565 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-1 | 99.2% |