Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Jan 21, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
50.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
43.9 pp
Home time led
97.1%
Away time led
2.9%
The Flood (2-straight)DET
The Grip (entering P3)TOR — xG +2.1
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 50.5% |
| 168 | 1 | 04:46 | goal | 1-0 | 67.7% |
| 433 | 1 | 19:42 | goal | 1-1 | 53.9% |
| 447 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 53.9% |
| 809 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 53.5% |
| 1131 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 53.4% |
| 1164 | 4 | 03:08 | goal | 1-2 | 9.4% |
| 496 | 4 | 03:08 | game-end | 1-2 | 0.0% |