Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Jan 23, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
52.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
27.3 pp
Home time led
1.8%
Away time led
98.2%
The Flood (2-straight)VGK
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 1 | 04:31 | goal | 0-2 | 25.7% |
| 68 | 1 | 01:06 | goal | 0-1 | 36.5% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.2% |
| 738 | 2 | 18:19 | goal | 3-4 | 30.1% |
| 630 | 2 | 10:04 | goal | 2-4 | 12.9% |
| 575 | 2 | 05:16 | goal | 1-4 | 5.1% |
| 554 | 2 | 03:32 | goal | 1-3 | 15.8% |
| 363 | 2 | 00:13 | goal | 1-2 | 33.2% |
| 361 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 22.0% |
| 460 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-6 | 0.9% |
| 1068 | 3 | 19:01 | goal | 3-6 | 1.1% |
| 1015 | 3 | 15:11 | goal | 3-5 | 4.4% |
| 768 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-4 | 30.1% |