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2025-26 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Jan 23, 2026)

In-Game Dashboard

Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 23, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 56.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 33.0 pp
Home time led 1.8%
Away time led 98.2%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
123104:31goal0-223.6%
68101:06goal0-140.8%
54100:00period-start0-055.9%
738218:19goal3-431.9%
630210:04goal2-415.5%
575205:16goal1-43.8%
554203:32goal1-315.4%
363200:13goal1-229.1%
361200:00period-start0-221.9%
460320:00game-end3-60.8%
1068319:01goal3-61.0%
1015315:11goal3-53.8%
768300:00period-start3-431.6%