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2026-27 Season Live

Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers Win Probability Chart (Jan 24, 2026)

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Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers

Jan 24, 2026
Edmonton Oilers pregame win prob 71.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 6
Biggest swing 55.1 pp
Home time led 75.3%
Away time led 24.7%
The Flood (3-straight)WSH
The Grip (entering P3)EDM — xG +2.4

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-071.1%
501119:12goal1-083.7%
354119:34goal1-171.0%
370200:00period-start1-171.0%
569204:13goal2-183.6%
602206:50goal2-270.8%
757214:29goal2-345.6%
822300:00period-start2-340.7%
891304:30goal3-370.5%
914306:40goal3-432.9%
947308:24goal4-469.9%
502315:09goal4-516.4%
503319:28goal5-568.7%
1125400:00period-start5-569.5%
1129400:47goal6-591.8%
708400:47game-end6-5100.0%