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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Jan 27, 2026)

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Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 27, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 52.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 21.3 pp
Home time led 33.1%
Away time led 66.9%
The Flood (3-straight)BUF

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.2%
206107:44goal1-067.1%
152109:29goal1-153.2%
305110:49goal2-162.8%
153113:16goal2-254.6%
402118:05goal2-342.3%
433200:00period-start2-340.4%
720211:17goal3-353.4%
815218:17goal3-430.6%
842300:00period-start3-430.1%
845300:16goal3-59.3%
1001311:33goal3-61.0%
1048314:59goal4-64.0%
1096319:16goal4-70.8%
513320:00game-end4-70.9%