Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Feb 02, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames pregame win prob
61.7%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
9
Biggest swing
20.8 pp
Home time led
2.9%
Away time led
97.1%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.9% |
| 57 | 1 | 00:35 | goal | 0-1 | 42.9% |
| 377 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 43.8% |
| 521 | 2 | 07:17 | goal | 0-2 | 20.1% |
| 563 | 2 | 09:10 | goal | 0-3 | 2.3% |
| 663 | 2 | 13:15 | goal | 1-3 | 13.7% |
| 701 | 2 | 15:46 | goal | 2-3 | 32.1% |
| 819 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-3 | 31.6% |
| 1100 | 3 | 19:35 | goal | 2-4 | 3.1% |
| 457 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-4 | 3.3% |