Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Feb 03, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
71.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
53.5 pp
Home time led
85.5%
Away time led
14.5%
The Flood (2-straight)BUF
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 71.3% |
| 234 | 1 | 10:24 | goal | 1-0 | 83.3% |
| 423 | 1 | 16:53 | goal | 1-1 | 70.5% |
| 480 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 71.0% |
| 782 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 70.5% |
| 832 | 3 | 04:08 | goal | 1-2 | 39.2% |
| 893 | 3 | 08:53 | goal | 2-2 | 69.9% |
| 968 | 3 | 14:53 | goal | 2-3 | 20.8% |
| 1027 | 3 | 19:34 | goal | 3-3 | 70.5% |
| 1038 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 71.6% |
| 1085 | 4 | 04:45 | goal | 4-3 | 94.2% |
| 528 | 4 | 04:45 | game-end | 4-3 | 100.0% |