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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers Win Probability Chart (Feb 03, 2026)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers

Feb 03, 2026
Edmonton Oilers pregame win prob 64.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 56.4 pp
Home time led 44.9%
Away time led 55.1%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
632211:18goal1-238.3%
628211:09goal1-158.9%
573207:12goal0-140.7%
372320:00game-end2-50.7%
471200:00period-start0-057.0%
981317:22goal2-50.8%
864308:13goal2-47.3%
857307:42goal2-330.0%
815304:27goal2-261.6%
749300:00period-start1-232.2%