Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes Win Probability Chart (Feb 26, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes pregame win prob
76.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
28
Biggest swing
<<<<<<< Updated upstream
42.9 pp
=======
42.5 pp
>>>>>>> Stashed changes
Home time led
82.9%
Away time led
17.1%
The Flood (3-straight)CAR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 | 1 | 17:05 | goal | 3-2 | 70.0% |
| 329 | 1 | 16:30 | goal | 3-1 | 86.2% |
| 201 | 1 | 06:41 | goal | 3-0 | 94.3% |
| 91 | 1 | 02:56 | goal | 2-0 | 85.7% |
| 75 | 1 | 01:43 | goal | 1-0 | 66.7% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 663 | 2 | 14:02 | goal | 4-4 | 38.4% |
| 563 | 2 | 07:21 | goal | 4-3 | 69.1% |
| 504 | 2 | 01:58 | goal | 3-3 | 53.3% |
| 377 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 5-4 | 92.9% |
| 486 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-2 | 70.9% |
| 846 | 3 | 07:17 | goal | 5-4 | 73.5% |
| 758 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 56.5% |
| 341 | 1 | 17:05 | goal | 3-2 | 69.9% |
| 329 | 1 | 16:30 | goal | 3-1 | 86.3% |
| 201 | 1 | 06:41 | goal | 3-0 | 93.6% |
| 91 | 1 | 02:56 | goal | 2-0 | 85.3% |
| 75 | 1 | 01:43 | goal | 1-0 | 66.3% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 663 | 2 | 14:02 | goal | 4-4 | 38.3% |
| 563 | 2 | 07:21 | goal | 4-3 | 69.2% |
| 504 | 2 | 01:58 | goal | 3-3 | 53.4% |
| 377 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 5-4 | 92.7% |
| 486 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-2 | 71.0% |
| 846 | 3 | 07:17 | goal | 5-4 | 74.0% |
| 758 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 56.8% |