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Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Feb 27, 2026)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals

Feb 27, 2026
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 51.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 14
Biggest swing 42.1 pp
Home time led 92.7%
Away time led 7.3%
The Flood (3-straight)WSH

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.6%
711214:52goal3-094.2%
566203:23goal2-074.5%
484200:49goal1-055.3%
480200:00period-start0-055.6%
512320:00game-end3-292.0%
901309:15goal3-277.7%
810302:27goal3-189.1%
783300:00period-start3-096.6%