Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Feb 28, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
52.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
23
Biggest swing
54.7 pp
Home time led
22.5%
Away time led
77.5%
The Flood (3-straight)OTT
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254 | 1 | 10:59 | goal | 1-1 | 54.5% |
| 97 | 1 | 02:52 | goal | 1-0 | 68.2% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.6% |
| 834 | 2 | 16:06 | goal | 2-5 | 2.2% |
| 822 | 2 | 15:15 | goal | 2-4 | 13.9% |
| 796 | 2 | 13:56 | goal | 2-3 | 20.1% |
| 783 | 2 | 13:05 | goal | 1-3 | 9.7% |
| 500 | 2 | 03:03 | goal | 1-2 | 28.5% |
| 462 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 55.6% |
| 512 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-5 | 0.8% |
| 898 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-5 | 2.0% |