Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Feb 28, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
76.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
29.4 pp
Home time led
10.4%
Away time led
89.6%
The Flood (5+ straight)BUF
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 76.3% |
| 121 | 1 | 05:25 | goal | 0-1 | 61.6% |
| 136 | 1 | 06:15 | goal | 0-2 | 32.5% |
| 161 | 1 | 08:18 | goal | 0-3 | 23.8% |
| 308 | 1 | 15:06 | goal | 0-4 | 11.2% |
| 435 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-4 | 6.4% |
| 460 | 2 | 01:54 | goal | 0-5 | 2.1% |
| 694 | 2 | 16:03 | goal | 1-5 | 2.8% |
| 761 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-5 | 0.9% |
| 817 | 3 | 03:43 | goal | 1-6 | 0.3% |
| 841 | 3 | 05:27 | goal | 2-6 | 0.5% |
| 530 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-6 | 0.0% |