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2026-27 Season Live

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Mar 02, 2026)

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Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 02, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 47.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 34.4 pp
Home time led 4.1%
Away time led 95.9%
The Flood (2-straight)PHI

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-047.5%
335115:22goal1-065.1%
387118:38goal1-142.3%
460200:00period-start1-141.8%
774300:00period-start1-148.0%
978314:42goal1-212.3%
1017317:30goal2-246.7%
1062400:00period-start2-247.8%
423500:00period-start2-248.0%
1152500:00goal2-248.2%
502500:00goal2-248.2%
503500:00goal2-248.2%
431500:00game-end2-248.2%