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2025-26 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Mar 04, 2026)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings

Mar 04, 2026
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 61.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 14
Biggest swing 81.0 pp
Home time led 87.8%
Away time led 12.2%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
418116:14goal3-185.0%
402115:15goal2-169.3%
185105:58goal1-155.2%
122101:50goal0-136.9%
104100:00period-start0-055.7%
478200:00period-start3-184.8%
1110316:36goal3-344.0%
1046311:37goal3-285.3%
863300:00period-start3-190.9%
519402:11game-end3-410.5%
1189402:11goal3-40.0%
1164400:00period-start3-351.4%