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2026-27 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Mar 04, 2026)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings

Mar 04, 2026
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 52.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 42.8 pp
Home time led 89.3%
Away time led 10.7%
The Flood (3-straight)DET

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
104100:00period-start0-052.6%
122101:50goal0-133.7%
185105:58goal1-152.7%
402115:15goal2-168.3%
418116:14goal3-183.6%
478200:00period-start3-183.8%
863300:00period-start3-191.0%
1046311:37goal3-286.3%
1110316:36goal3-350.8%
1164400:00period-start3-353.4%
1189402:11goal3-410.2%
519402:11game-end3-40.0%