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2025-26 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Mar 04, 2026)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings

Mar 04, 2026
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 59.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 12
Biggest swing 77.8 pp
Home time led 88.6%
Away time led 11.4%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
418116:14goal3-184.9%
402115:15goal2-171.9%
185105:58goal1-156.0%
122101:50goal0-138.6%
104100:00period-start0-055.9%
478200:00period-start3-185.6%
1110316:36goal3-348.3%
1046311:37goal3-285.8%
863300:00period-start3-191.2%
519402:11game-end3-413.4%
1189402:11goal3-40.0%
1164400:00period-start3-353.2%