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Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils Win Probability Chart (Mar 04, 2026)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils

Mar 04, 2026
New Jersey Devils pregame win prob 50.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 18
Biggest swing 47.9 pp
Home time led 97.7%
Away time led 2.3%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
269107:55goal1-171.0%
134105:26goal0-138.8%
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
573206:06goal2-270.9%
484203:20goal1-268.5%
438200:00period-start1-167.9%
973317:39goal3-383.7%
917313:50goal2-373.7%
741300:00period-start2-278.3%
1012400:00period-start3-388.1%
156500:00goal3-362.8%
158500:00goal3-378.3%
516500:00period-start3-378.3%
524500:00game-end3-378.3%