Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Mar 05, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob
51.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
5
Biggest swing
22.1 pp
Home time led
35.1%
Away time led
64.9%
The Flood (4+ straight)BUF
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.3% |
| 308 | 1 | 12:00 | goal | 0-1 | 35.2% |
| 341 | 1 | 14:48 | goal | 1-1 | 54.5% |
| 461 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 55.6% |
| 504 | 2 | 04:10 | goal | 1-2 | 35.7% |
| 543 | 2 | 06:18 | goal | 1-3 | 11.0% |
| 640 | 2 | 10:30 | goal | 1-4 | 3.1% |
| 763 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-4 | 1.5% |
| 976 | 3 | 16:53 | goal | 1-5 | 1.1% |
| 563 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 1-5 | 0.7% |