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2026-27 Season Live

Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Mar 05, 2026)

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Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames

Mar 05, 2026
Calgary Flames pregame win prob 36.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 22.0 pp
Home time led 20.9%
Away time led 79.1%
The Flood (4+ straight)OTT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-036.9%
454117:04goal1-063.5%
558200:00period-start1-064.8%
683209:35goal1-140.2%
845300:00period-start1-140.6%
931306:33goal1-215.7%
1105317:59goal1-31.0%
1140319:46goal1-40.3%
515320:00game-end1-40.0%