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2025-26 Season Live

Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Mar 05, 2026)

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Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames

Mar 05, 2026
Calgary Flames pregame win prob 39.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 30
Biggest swing 70.3 pp
Home time led 44.7%
Away time led 55.3%
The Flood (4+ straight)OTT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
454117:04goal1-062.1%
54100:00period-start0-055.5%
683209:35goal1-141.1%
515320:00game-end1-40.8%
558200:00period-start1-071.0%
1140319:46goal1-40.7%
1105317:59goal1-33.0%
931306:33goal1-214.3%
845300:00period-start1-155.0%