Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Apr 09, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob
41.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
3
Biggest swing
42.2 pp
Home time led
54.5%
Away time led
45.5%
The Grip (entering P3)MTL — xG +1.6
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 41.0% |
| 437 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 48.7% |
| 572 | 2 | 06:30 | goal | 1-0 | 69.9% |
| 760 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-0 | 76.0% |
| 1054 | 3 | 18:09 | goal | 1-1 | 48.8% |
| 1067 | 3 | 18:56 | goal | 2-1 | 91.0% |
| 801 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-1 | 100.0% |