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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Apr 19, 2026)

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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 19, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 54.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 5
Biggest swing 33.1 pp
Home time led 60.7%
Away time led 39.3%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-054.6%
247113:24goal0-136.1%
511200:00period-start0-135.4%
715212:15goal1-155.9%
723212:44goal2-173.3%
816219:36goal2-255.5%
829300:00period-start2-255.5%
956305:56goal2-321.8%
1006308:58goal3-352.5%
1228400:00period-start3-355.5%
1237401:22goal3-425.3%
478401:22game-end3-40.0%