Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Oct 08, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob
57.2%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
19.8 pp
Home time led
70.8%
Away time led
29.2%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR
The Grip (entering P3)VGK — xG +1.6
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 57.2% |
| 61 | 1 | 00:34 | goal | 0-1 | 38.1% |
| 99 | 1 | 03:20 | goal | 0-2 | 28.1% |
| 175 | 1 | 08:37 | goal | 0-3 | 14.5% |
| 391 | 1 | 17:36 | goal | 1-3 | 22.8% |
| 428 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-3 | 22.1% |
| 442 | 2 | 01:12 | goal | 2-3 | 36.3% |
| 202 | 2 | 03:58 | goal | 3-3 | 56.1% |
| 840 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 56.7% |
| 1114 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 57.1% |
| 539 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 56.7% |
| 212 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 3-3 | 56.7% |
| 264 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 3-3 | 55.5% |
| 214 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 3-3 | 55.5% |
| 570 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 3-3 | 56.7% |