Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders Win Probability Chart (Oct 10, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders
New York Islanders pregame win prob
43.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
36.1 pp
Home time led
0.0%
Away time led
100.0%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 43.0% |
| 180 | 1 | 05:45 | goal | 0-1 | 34.6% |
| 374 | 1 | 15:42 | goal | 0-2 | 20.0% |
| 453 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 19.2% |
| 572 | 2 | 06:27 | goal | 1-2 | 29.5% |
| 591 | 2 | 07:54 | goal | 1-3 | 12.2% |
| 645 | 2 | 11:41 | goal | 2-3 | 27.5% |
| 740 | 2 | 19:53 | goal | 3-3 | 48.8% |
| 752 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 48.8% |
| 1023 | 3 | 18:16 | goal | 3-4 | 12.0% |
| 1031 | 3 | 18:37 | goal | 3-5 | 2.1% |
| 515 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-5 | 0.0% |