Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Oct 15, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
36.6%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
6
Biggest swing
40.5 pp
Home time led
48.8%
Away time led
51.2%
The Flood (3-straight)BUF
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 36.6% |
| 93 | 1 | 02:24 | goal | 1-0 | 61.1% |
| 115 | 1 | 03:35 | goal | 1-1 | 44.6% |
| 260 | 1 | 13:10 | goal | 2-1 | 62.7% |
| 412 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 67.2% |
| 442 | 2 | 02:41 | goal | 2-2 | 45.8% |
| 663 | 2 | 11:13 | goal | 3-2 | 68.4% |
| 757 | 2 | 16:51 | goal | 4-2 | 87.4% |
| 45 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-2 | 90.4% |
| 930 | 3 | 10:05 | goal | 4-3 | 83.5% |
| 964 | 3 | 12:16 | goal | 4-4 | 43.8% |
| 1081 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 45.9% |
| 1108 | 4 | 03:14 | goal | 4-5 | 12.5% |
| 471 | 4 | 03:14 | game-end | 4-5 | 0.0% |