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2026-27 Season Live

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Oct 17, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 17, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 49.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 18.9 pp
Home time led 13.8%
Away time led 86.2%
The Flood (2-straight)NYI

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-049.5%
154108:18goal0-135.0%
412200:00period-start0-133.8%
767218:33goal0-29.9%
799300:00period-start0-29.0%
845303:54goal1-226.5%
971314:08goal1-32.9%
1033317:55goal1-40.6%
1103320:00game-end1-40.0%