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Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 17, 2026)

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 17, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 14, 2026 06:28 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Seattle Kraken and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Seattle Kraken 54.1% • Tampa Bay Lightning 45.9%

Expected goals: Seattle Kraken 3.13 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.31 • Median total: 6.2

Expected Goals Comparison

Seattle Kraken
3.01
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.80
xG/game (Season)