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Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 17, 2026)

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 17, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 16, 2026 01:24 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Seattle Kraken and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Seattle Kraken 52.4% • Tampa Bay Lightning 47.6%

Expected goals: Seattle Kraken 2.80 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.26 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Seattle Kraken
3.00
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.79
xG/game (Season)